A pair of college basketball’s top scorers face off when Kofi Cockburn (ninth, 21.0 PPG) and the No. 17 Illinois Fighting Illini (21-8, 14-5 Big Ten) host Keegan Murray (fourth, 23.3 PPG) and the No. 25 Iowa Hawkeyes (22-8, 12-7 Big Ten) on Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 7:30 PM ET. The Fighting Illini are 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 153.5. In this article, we dig into the Illinois vs. Iowa odds and lines ahead of this matchup.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Illinois has a 13-15-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Iowa, who is 18-12-0 ATS. A total of 17 out of the Fighting Illini’s 28 games this season have gone over the point total, and 20 of the Hawkeyes’ 30 games have gone over. The teams score an average of 159.9 points per game, 6.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Illinois has a 4-6-0 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the past 10 contests. Iowa has gone 6-4-0 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games.

Prepare for this Big Ten matchup with everything you need to know before Sunday’s college basketball action.

Iowa at Illinois odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: Illinois -3.5 Total: 153.5 Moneyline: Illinois -169, Iowa +143

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Iowa at Illinois odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Illinois 75, Iowa 74

Moneyline

The Fighting Illini have won 79.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (19-5). Illinois has a 16-4 record (winning 80% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -169 or shorter. Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Fighting Illini have an implied win probability of 62.8%. The Hawkeyes have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won three of those games. Iowa has entered two games this season as the underdog by +143 or more and is 1-1 in those contests. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 41.2% chance of a victory for the Hawkeyes.

Against the spread

The Fighting Illini record 76.3 points per game, 5.4 more points than the 70.9 the Hawkeyes give up. Illinois is 12-8 against the spread and 17-3 overall when scoring more than 70.9 points. Iowa is 16-5 against the spread and 19-2 overall when giving up fewer than 76.3 points. The Hawkeyes score an average of 83.6 points per game, 16.0 more points than the 67.6 the Fighting Illini allow to opponents. Iowa has put together an 18-10 ATS record and a 22-6 overall record in games it scores more than 67.6 points. Illinois has an ATS record of 12-10 and a 19-5 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 83.6 points. The Fighting Illini have out-scored their opponents by a total of 252 points this season (8.7 points per game on average), and the Hawkeyes have put up 381 more points than their opponents on the year (12.7 per game).

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Over/Under

The Fighting Illini have an average implied point total equal to their implied total in Sunday’s game (79). This season, Illinois has totaled more than 79 points in a game 14 times. The average implied point total on the season for the Hawkeyes (81.1) is 6.1 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (75). This year, Iowa has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (75) 24 times.

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How to watch Illinois vs. Iowa

Game Day: Sunday, March 6, 2022 Game Time: 7:30 PM ET TV Channel: FOX Sports Networks

Find out how to watch for free with fuboTV.

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