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Selasa, 21 Juni 2022

WNBA fantasy and betting tips for Tuesday - ESPN

Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Here's what to look for during Tuesday's slate:


Dallas Wings at Atlanta Dream
7:00 p.m. ET, Gateway Center Arena, Atlanta

Line: Wings (-4)
Money line: Wings (-170), Dream (+145)
Total: 164 points
BPI Win%: Dream (54.9%)

Ruled out: Erica Wheeler (foot), Kristy Wallace (concussion protocol), Kia Vaughn (COVID-19), Nia Coffey (knee), Satou Sabally (knee)

Fantasy need to know: Isabelle Harrison (available in 44.6% of leagues) moved back into the starting lineup three games ago, in place of the injured Sabally, and has averaged 11.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 2.0 APG and 0.3 SPG in 22 MPG during that stretch. That's solid, streamable production, and she has upside as her best 3-game stretch as a starter this season included averages of 16.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 2.0 APG in 30 MPG.

The Dream are dealing with a lot of injuries, particularly to their starting backcourt, which has given young reserves Aari McDonald (available in 62.4% of leagues) and AD Durr (available in 95.9% of leagues) the chance to shine. McDonald, the third pick in the 2021 WNBA Draft, has averaged 17.3 PPG, 5.0 APG, 3.3 RPG, 2.0 SPG and 1.3 3PG in 38.7 MPG over her last three games. The Dream recently traded for Durr, a rookie in 2019 that sat out the last two seasons due to COVID, and in her last two games she's popped for 21.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.5 APG and 2.5 3PG in 28.5 MPG off the bench.

Best bet: Wings -4. The Dream have lost four straight games, with an average margin of -8.3 PPG. That losing streak has roughly corresponded to when they started having to deal with so many injuries in their backcourt, and that is still the situation on Tuesday. The Wings are only 3-4 in their last seven games, but all of their losses were to the Aces and Storm, the top two teams in the West by scoring margin. The Wings are healthier and playing slightly better, coming into Tuesday's action. -- André Snellings


Minnesota Lynx at Phoenix Mercury
10:00 p.m. ET, Footprint Center, Phoenix

Line: Mercury (-5)
Money line: Lynx (+180), Mercury (-220)
Total: 168 points
BPI Win%: Mercury (60%)

Questionable: Natalie Achonwa (hamstring)

Fantasy need to know: During their four-game road trip, the Mercury (6-10) took two games and have won three of their last five. With a 4-3 record in June, Phoenix snapped a seven-game losing streak. The Mercury have an offensive rating of 104.5 and a defensive rating of 103.1 over their last seven games. Skylar Diggins-Smith has led the way for the Mercury with 20.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG and 5.7 APG. With five losses in a row, the last-place Lynx (3-13) are struggling this season. Sylvia Fowles and Natalie Achonwa suffered long-term injuries for the Lynx. Over their last five games, Minnesota ranks 10th in offensive rating (97.7) and 11th in defensive rating (109.3).

Diggins-Smith, Tina Charles, Diana Taurasi, Diamond DeShields and Brianna Turner are all must start fantasy options. Due to Sophie Cunningham's sprained elbow ligament, Shey Peddy continues to be on the streaming radar. She is available in 92.6% of leagues. Over the last four games, Peddy has averaged 17.4 fantasy points. The following Lynx players should be in your fantasy starting lineups: Aerial Powers, Moriah Jefferson, Kayla McBride and Jessica Shepard. As Fowles is out for the season, Nikolina Milic, who is available in 94% of leagues, has helped fill the void for the Lynx. Over the last three games, she has averaged 25.6 fantasy points. Don't hesitate to add Milic if you need a streamer. The matchup between Minnesota and Phoenix on Tuesday will be the first of four this season.

Best bet: Mercury -5. There is no doubt that the Mercury will run up the score here, as the Lynx have given up an average of 84.9 PPG. Minnesota won't score enough points, and that's why Phoenix covers the spread. -- Eric Moody


Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces
10:00 p.m. ET, Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas

Line: Aces (-7.5)
Money line: Sky (+280), Aces (-350)
Total: 176 points
BPI Win%: Aces (67.3%)

Fantasy need to know: Candace Parker is set to return for the Sky after missing two games with a knee injury, and presumably she will be in her usual starter role... though it's unknown whether she will be on any type of minutes restriction. Azura Stevens (available in 54.0% of leagues) would move back to the bench after starting the last two games in Parker's place, but she still has upside, with averages of 8.6 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 0.9 BPG, 0.8 3PG, 0.6 APG and 0.4 SPG in 18.8 MPG in her eight games off the bench this season.

The Aces starting five is arguably the strongest in the WNBA, and they are all universally rostered (and worthy of starting) in fantasy hoops as well. Jackie Young missed two games with an ankle injury, but has been back and playing big minutes for the last two games. Her numbers still haven't returned to pre-injury level, but with each game she gets stronger and she could be back to normal as soon as tonight.

Best bet: Under 176 points. The Aces and Sky have both combined with their opponents to score more than 176 points once and to score exactly 176 points once in their last two games. However, before that, the Aces and their opponents had only gone over 176 once in their previous five outings. SImilarly, the Sky's two-game scoring surge came in the two games Candace Parker missed. They hadn't combined with their opponents to score more than 176 points in any of the seven most recent games that Parker played. These two teams played on May 28, and combined for only 159 points. -- Snellings


Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks
10:00 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Line: Mystics (-2.5)
Money line: Mystics (-135), Sparks (+115)
Total: 163 points
BPI Win%: Sparks (52.3%)

Ruled out: Elena Delle Donne (rest)

Fantasy need to know: The Mystics (11-7) will play the Sparks (5-9) for the first time this season on Tuesday. During their three-game west coast trip, they will also face the Seattle Storm and the Las Vegas Aces, two of the league's best teams. The Mystics rank seventh in offensive rating (99.9) and first in defensive rating (94.9). With 27.8 fantasy points per game, Elena Delle Donne leads all Washington players. Since mid-May, she hasn't played three consecutive games. While the Sparks acclimate to Fred Williams as head coach. Los Angeles ranks sixth in offensive rating (100.6) and 12th in defensive rating (106.9). Additionally, the Sparks allow a league-high 14.4 fast-break points per contest, the most in franchise history.

For the Mystics, Delle Donne, Ariel Atkins, and Natasha Cloud are must-starts. If Delle Donne is inactive then stream Alysha Clark, who is available in 56.5% of leagues. In three of her last four games, she has scored 23 or more fantasy points. Shakira Austin, who is available in 48.4% of leagues, is also on the streaming radar. She's averaged 19.1 fantasy points per game this season. The Sparks' Nneka Ogwumike, Liz Cambage, and Brittney Sykes should all be included in fantasy lineups. Jordin Canada, who is available in 63.6% of leagues, and Katie Lou Samuelson, who is available in 80.7% of leagues, are the top streaming options for Los Angeles. Over the last three games, Canada has averaged 15.6 fantasy points. Samuelson has averaged 18.6 fantasy points per game over her last five games.

Best bet: Mystics -2.5. Offensively, the Mystics average 78.9 PPG. As for Washington's defense, it allows only 74.6 PPG to its opponents. There is no question that the Mystics are the better team and will cover even on the road. Washington is 6-2 against the spread in their road games. -- Moody

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