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Minggu, 17 Juli 2022

WNBA fantasy and betting tips for Sunday - ESPN

Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Here's what to look for during Sunday's slate:


Las Vegas Aces at Connecticut Sun
1 p.m., Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Conn.


Line: Aces (-1)
Money line: Aces (-120), Sun (+100)
Total: 174.5 points
BPI Win%: Sun (63.4%)

Questionable: None

Ruled Out: None

Notable: The Aces enter this game healthy and undefeated since the All-Star break, winners of back-to-back games against the Liberty. The Aces played the Sun twice earlier this season, and their starters scored 170 out of the team's 179 points in those matchups. Thus, this doesn't shape up as a game for Aces streamers. Jackie Young was the only Aces player to have big performances in both games, averaging 23.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.5 SPG and 1.5 3PG in the back-to-back. With that said, the Aces starting five is universally rostered in fantasy leagues, and should be deployed as usual, even in a potentially tough matchup.

The Sun are also a perfect 2-0 since the break, coming off comfortable road wins over the Fever and Dream. Their frontline has been as dominant as ever, with Jonquel Jones, Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner and Brionna Jones combining for 113 points and 48 rebounds in those two games. Natisha Hiedeman (available in 87.4% of fantasy leagues) has been the main scoring threat out of their backcourt since the break, averaging 12.0 PPG, 2.5 APG, 2.5 3PG, 1.5 SPG and 1.5 RPG in 25.0 MPG in those two wins. -- Andre Snellings

Best bet: Over 174.5 points

The Aces have scored at least 107 points in three straight games, and at least 91 in four of their last five. The Sun have scored 89 and 93 points in their last two games, and at least 83 in three of their last five. In their two matchups earlier this season, these two teams averaged a combined 178.5 PPG, going over in their most recent game with 187 points. -- Snellings


Minnesota Lynx at Washington Mystics
3 p.m., Entertainment & Sports Arena, Washington


Line: Mystics (-3.5)
Money line: Lynx (+143), Mystics (-170)
Total: 160.5 points
BPI Win%: Mystics (58.3%)

Questionable: None

Ruled Out: Napheesa Collier (personal)

Notable: The Lynx have been busy since the All-Star break, sandwiching wins over the Mercury and the Fever around a tough loss to the Wings. The Lynx played a back-to-back on Thursday and Friday, making today's game their third in four days. Moriah Jefferson (available in 46.4% of leagues) remains mired in a four-game funk, during which she's averaged only 4.0 PPG, 3.8 APG, 1.8 SPG, 1.3 RPG and 0.3 3PG in 24.8 MPG. Before this stretch, Jefferson hadn't scored as few as four points in any other game this season that she'd played for the Lynx. There isn't any word on any health issues slowing her play, so if she's healthy, she certainly seems due for a big game any time now.

The Mystics have split their two games since the All-Star break, but the biggest thing to watch on Sunday is the availability of Elena Delle Donne. Delle Donne hasn't played in more than three consecutive games at any time this season, and she's currently played in the Mystics' last three outings. One of those was before the All-Star break, though, so perhaps she'll be cleared to go. If she does, she leads the way with averages of 23.7 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.7 APG and 2.7 3PG during that three game stretch. If Delle Donne sits, it could open up an opportunity for rookie Shakira Austin (available in 60.4% of leagues) to shine. Austin's last double-digit scoring effort came in the last game Delle Donne sat, and Austin's career-high of 13 rebounds came in a different game where the former MVP was out. -- Snellings

Best bet: Lynx +4.5 points

The Lynx have won four of their last five games, including victories over the Aces and the Sky, the two teams with the best records in the WNBA. The Mystics come in having lost three of their last five outings, and as mentioned above their trend has been for Delle Donne not to play in three consecutive games. Even if she does play, 4.5 points are a lot for the Mystics to give considering the relative trajectories of both teams right now. -- Snellings


Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury
6 p.m., Footprint Center, Phoenix


Line: Mercury (-6)
Money line: Dream (+210), Mercury (-260)
Total: 159.5 points
BPI Win%: Mercury (67.7%)

Questionable: None

Ruled Out: Diamond DeShields (hip), Nia Coffey (knee), Monique Billings (ankle), Rhyne Howard (shoulder)

Notable: On Sunday, the Mercury (11-15) host the Dream (10-14) in an attempt to consolidate their playoff positioning. With Thursday's win, Phoenix has now won five of their last eight games against the Mystics. Skylar Diggins-Smith has recorded 28 assists over her last three games, her most in a three-game span. Diana Taurasi also had her fourth game with 25 points and five triples, the most by any player this season. The Mercury rank sixth in offensive rating (101.7) and ninth in defensive rating (104.5).

The Sun defeated the Dream on Friday, with Atlanta losing its third straight game. They are now 2-6 in its last eight. The Dream rank 12th in offensive rating (93.7), but are much stronger on the defensive end of the floor. Atlanta ranks fourth in defensive rating (97.5). Diggins-Smith, Sophie Cunningham, Brianna Turner, and Taurasi are the Mercury's most reliable fantasy options. In 61.7% of leagues, Cunningham is still available. Reshanda Gray, who is available in 99.5% of leagues, is a popular streaming option.

Howard, who is out, usually averages 28.5 fantasy points per game. The rookie will miss a second consecutive game. Kristy Wallace, available in 95.9% of leagues, and AD Durr, available in 97.2% of leagues, could see increased roles against the Mercury. You can also trust Cheyenne Parker, who has averaged 23.6 fantasy points per game this season. -- Eric Moody

Best bet: Mercury -6

I'd be shocked if the Mercury don't cover against a Dream team without Howard, despite their 1-4 record against the spread in their last five games. In their last five games against the spread, Atlanta is 2-3.


Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm
6 p.m., Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle


Line: Storm (-14)
Money line: Fever (+800), Storm (-1400)
Total: 158.5 points
BPI Win%: Storm (85.8%)

Questionable: Lexie Hull (wrist)

Ruled Out: None

Notable: Breanna Stewart and Kelsey Mitchell, who are averaging 20.6 and 19.0 points respectively, will battle against each other in a matchup between the Fever (5-21) and the Storm (16-8). This is the third meeting between the two teams this season. In the last matchup on July 5, the Storm won 95-73. The Fever lost to the Lynx on Friday. Indiana has lost eight consecutive games, the longest active losing streak in the league. The Fever rank 11th in offensive rating (95.4) and 12th in defensive rating (107.6).

Last Tuesday, the Storm defeated the Wings, scoring 80-plus points for the third consecutive game -- tying its longest streak of the season. This season, the Storm are 12-1 when scoring at least 80 points. Seattle ranks eighth in offensive rating (100.1) and first in defensive rating (94.4).

There are few players on the Fever you can trust from a fantasy perspective outside of Mitchell, who is averaging 29.5 fantasy points per game, and NaLyssa Smith, who is averaging 25.1 fantasy points per game. If you need a streamer, Victoria Vivians, who is available in 49% of leagues, is your best option. In three of her last four games, she has scored at least 20 fantasy points.

Whenever they play, Stewart, Jewell Loyd, Tina Charles, Ezi Magbegor, and Sue Bird should be in your fantasy lineup. Gabby Williams, who is available in 70.5% of leagues, remains the Storm's top streamer. She has averaged 18.4 fantasy points per game. -- Moody

Best bet: Storm -14

The Fever are 4-8 in their road games against the spread. One of the top defenses in the league, the Storm has a number of offensive playmakers. Seattle should cover. -- Moody

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