Soccer continues this week with Premier League games and more.
So which team should you be betting and what are the big storylines? Our analysts are here to offer all the input you need.
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Let's take a look at the goal totals from Man City's last four games across all competitions, shall we? Six, five, four and zero. Is there any end to this ridiculously high-scoring run in sight? Is there any reason to think Liverpool might be the side to stop them (or at least slow them down) this week?
Paul Carr: No. Liverpool's defense has been suspect all season, allowing the 10th-most expected goals and conceding a goal in six of eight games. Plus, one of those shutouts was when the Reds allowed 14 shots and 1.7 expected goals to Everton. It's hard to see Liverpool slowing down a City team that has scored twice in eight of nine Premier League games. And even though Liverpool's attack isn't humming, it's still averaging 1.8 expected goals per game. Five straight City-Liverpool meetings have had four or more goals, and I like over 3.5 goals at +120.
Dalen Cuff: Paul laid out the stats for what we've seen all year Liverpool's defense is just bad. There will be opportunities for City and they will capitalize. That said, City has been opened up on a few occasions this year. I think the o3.5 goals is the play but also interesting is both teams to score, City to win +190.
Everton, through nine league games this season, have yet to take part in a match where more than three total goals were scored. They face Tottenham this week, who have scored five goals across all competitions in their last three games. Should we be looking to bet some clean sheets or low-goal totals here?
Cuff: Everton is tied for first while Spurs is tied for second in goals allowed this year. The Toffees have started to show more life in the attacking half in recent matches. Conte would rather defend and counter, but in this match, at home, they'll have to create with the ball. I expect Spurs to control the game and dominate the ball. I like Spurs to keep a clean sheet at +105.
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Let's get a bit cheeky here. Surely Forest is likely to be relegated when all is said and done, but the team is coming off a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa and now face a Wolves side that has scored just one goal over the last five league matches. Is now the time to bet Forest to get a result in this match?
Carr: With the worst goal difference in the league (-15), Forest has the misfortune of being both not good and unlucky, sporting an expected goal difference of -5.9 that's third-worst. Forest's defense has been the main culprit, conceding the second-most goals in the league (19) and the third-most expected goals (15.0). But Wolves can't score, ranking dead last with three goals and 19th with 8.2 expected goals. It's hard to see more than a couple shots finding the net here, so I lean under 2.5 goals at -125.
What are you looking at in the other European leagues?
Carr: El Clasico always demands eyeballs, especially given the off-the-field drama at Barcelona this year. Despite the distractions, Xavi's side leads La Liga on goal difference over Real Madrid, and their underlying numbers are also similar this season. Barcelona's defense hasn't been as stout as the one goal conceded suggests, but Barca's 6.3 expected goals against are nearly identical to Real Madrid's stats, so these teams look to be fairly even once again. I'm stunned that the line on over 2.5 goals is only -160. Jump on that if it's still available, given that five straight Clasicos have had at least three goals. If I had to pick a side, I'd lean toward Barcelona at +205. Anything can happen in these games, so I'll go with the better price.
What is your best bet for the weekend?
Carr: Over 2.5 goals in Fulham-Bournemouth (-120). Eight of Fulham's nine games have had at least three goals this season, and the Cottagers will see this as a must-win at home against a fellow newly-promoted side. Bournemouth's attack has been bad, ranking last with 4.8 expected goals, but Fulham will find goals at one end or the other. Take the over here.
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