ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for October 22 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.
What you need to know for Saturday's games
Telling A Story
The Nuggets are on the backend of their first back-to-back of the season and were 5-7 ATS in such spots last season. That doesn't give you a strong lean, but once you pick which side you like, the total figures to following. In four of those covers, under tickets cashed and in five of the ATS losses, over tickets were good.
Fear The Beard
Wilt Chamberlain. There you go, your entire list of 76ers to have consecutive 30-7-7 games on 50% shooting prior to James Harden doing it in each of Philadelphia's first two games. He's yet to miss a free throw and has more 3PM than turnovers in his 77 minutes.
Texas Two-Step
The Grizz were in Houston last night and are in Dallas tonight as they wrap up a three-game in four-day run to open the season. Memphis was an impressive 5-2 ATS (5-0 as an underdog, 0-2 as a favorite) when playing on the road during the second night of a back-to-back last season.
Do the Math
The Pacers might have found something special with Bennedict Mathurin (72% available). We've discussed the rookie's strong start to the season a few times already this week - he's averaging 22.5 PPG and eight combined boards and assists through two games -- but fantasy managers have yet to notice. Indiana is focused on their youth movement this season, suggesting Mathurin could again see plenty of shots, touches, and minutes in a choice matchup on Saturday against a Detroit roster allowing just over 46 DraftKings per game to small forwards on the young season
San Antonio Spurs at Philadelphia 76ers
6 p.m. ET, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Line: 76ers (-13)
Money line: 76ers (-800), Spurs (+550)
Total: 223.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 228.2 points
BPI Win%: 76ers (91%)
Fantasy Streamer: Joshua Primo (98.7% available). If you're in one of the 37% of leagues where Tre Jones is available, he'd be the more obvious choice to stream for tonight since he starts and has consistently put up good numbers thus far. If you're not, then this could be a game where 19-year old sophomore Primo shines. Primo is the third guard for the Spurs, and in his two games this season he got more minutes (26 vs. 21) and scored more points (10 vs. 3) in the Spurs' 27-point loss than he did in their 3-point win. The Spurs are expected to get throttled in Philadelphia tonight so there could be extra minutes for young Primo to try to shine. -- Andre Snellings
Best bet: Keldon Johnson over 19.5 points (+100). Johnson has scored 20 or more points and played 30 or more minutes in each of the first two games this season. The Spurs will continue to rely heavily on him with Dejounte Murray now with the Hawks. -- Eric Moody
Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. ET, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
Line: Pistons (-1)
Money line: Pistons (-115), Pacers (-105)
Total: 229.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 230.6 points
BPI Win%: Pacers (64.7%)
Questionable: Isaiah Livers, Alec Burks
Fantasy Streamer: Terry Taylor (99.8% available) should be considered for managers in deeper formats. As the Pacers remain shorthanded in the frontcourt, he's up for another start. Taylor has played 20 or more minutes in consecutive games. He averaged 17.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per 40 minutes last season. -- Moody
Fantasy Streamer: Bojan Bogdanovic (57.5% available) should continue to start for the Pistons in place of Marvin Bagley III. As Jaden Ivey and Cade Cunningham attack the hoop, Bogdanovic gets a ton of easy looks. In two consecutive games, Bogdanovic scored 18 points or more. His contributions should continue to be significant for the Pistons. -- Moody
Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic
7 p.m. ET, Amway Center, Orlando, Florida
Line: Celtics (-8.5)
Money line: Celtics (-365), Magic (+285)
Total: 218 points
BPI Projected Total: 222 points
BPI Win%: Celtics (84%)
Questionable: Moritz Wagner, Jalen Suggs
Ruled Out: Jonathan Isaac (hamstring), Gary Harris (knee), Markelle Fultz (toe)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Fantasy Streamer: Cole Anthony (available in 50.4% of leagues). Anthony is likely to have a bigger role for the Magic tonight if Jalen Suggs (ankle) is unable to go. Anthony stepped up off the bench after Suggs went down on Friday, scoring 25 points (8-for-12 FG, 5-for-7 FT) with 4 3-pointers, 2 assists, 1 steal and 1 block in 28 minutes of action. He could be poised to be their primary offense generator from the backcourt again on Saturday. -- Snellings
Best bet: Celtics -8.5. Boston is looking for its third consecutive win against a Magic team looking to avoid a third straight defeat. , the Celtics are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Orlando. There are still a The Magic struggled to score points last year, ranking second-worst in the league with 104.2 PPG. There is a strong chance that a shorthanded Magic team cannot handle the Celtics. -- Moody
Best bet: Wendell Carter Jr. over 24.5 points + rebounds. Carter Jr. and Paolo Banchero are versatile big men and a match made in heaven for fantasy managers. Carter Jr. has amassed 25 points and 19 rebounds through two games. His positive momentum should continue for a Magic team that will be missing players on Saturday night. -- Moody
Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls
8 p.m. ET, United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Line: Bulls (-2.5)
Money line: Cavaliers (-145), Bulls (+122)
Total: 219.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 225.5 points
BPI Win%: Cavaliers (59%)
Ruled Out: Darius Garland (ankle)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Fantasy Streamer: Andre Drummond (50.0% available). Drummond has only 16.5 MPG over the past two games but he has been extremely efficient. Drummond has stockpiled 19 points and 15 rebounds. While the Cavaliers present a difficult matchup for him, but the Bulls will attempt to match up with their frontcourt. Despite a back-to-back set, Drummond should have another solid performance. -- Moody
Fantasy Streamer: Cedi Osman (98.4% available). Osman should play significant minutes against the Bulls with Garland out. He averaged 19.4 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per 40 minutes last season. -- Moody
Best bet: Donovan Mitchell over 32.5 points + assists. Mitchell will be one of the Cavaliers' most important players on the court Saturday night. He had 31 points and nine assists on Wednesday against the Raptors and averaged 25.9 PPG and 5.3 APG last season. -- Moody
Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
8 p.m. ET, Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Line: Bucks (-13)
Money line: Bucks (-1000), Rockets (+650)
Total: 229.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 238.4 points
BPI Win%: Bucks (84.8%)
Questionable: TyTy Washington Jr., Jae'Sean Tate, Bruno Fernando (knee)
Ruled Out: Khris Middleton (wrist), Pat Connaughton (calf)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Fantasy Streamer: Brook Lopez (79.1% available). will continue to play a vital role for the Bucks this season. With Khris Middleton out he'll be asked to do more offensively. Lopez will also provide managers with rebounds, triples, and blocks. Against a Rockets team that ranked 30th last season in points allowed per 100 possessions, he has a favorable matchup. This trend appears to have continued for Houston this season. -- Moody
Best bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 45.5 points + rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished with 21 points and 13 rebounds against the 76ers on Thursday night. He should have similar success against the Rockets, who allowed 25.0 points per game in transition last season. It's good news for Antetokounmpo since he's one of the league's top transition finishers. The graceful movements he takes around the basket, as well as his creativeness, are stunning. -- Moody
Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat
8 p.m. ET, FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Line: Heat (-2.5)
Money line: Heat (-145), Raptors (+122)
Total: 215 points
BPI Projected Total: 217.7 points
BPI Win%: Heat (62.3%)
Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Line: Mavericks (-5.5)
Money line: Mavericks (-225), Grizzlies (+185)
Total: 219 points
BPI Projected Total: 229.4 points
BPI Win%: Mavericks (71.6%)
Questionable: Dillon Brooks
Ruled Out: Frank Ntilikina (ankle), Davis Bertans (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Fantasy Streamer: Steven Adams (52.9% available). has played 30 or more minutes in consecutive games, which should continue with Jaren Jackson Jr. recovering from a right foot injury. It would be wise for managers needing rebounding and defensive stats to consider adding Adams if he's on waivers. -- Moody
Best bet: Under 219. Memphis currently ranks fourth with 122.0 points per game, but the Mavericks defense may keep them from scoring as much. Dallas has the personnel to control the pace and limit Memphis' transition opportunities. At 60.2%, the Mavericks were the most successful under team last season. Dallas allowed a league-low 102.1 points per game at home last season. Furthermore, the under has hit in the last four meetings between the Grizzlies and Mavericks. -- Moody
Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
9 p.m. ET, Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
Line: Thunder (-8.5)
Money line: Nuggets (-355), Thunder (+278)
Total: 226.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 221.4 points
BPI Win%: Nuggets (81.1%)
Questionable: Jamal Murray
Ruled Out: Jalen Williams
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over points 30.5 points + assists. After missing the entire preseason due to a MCL sprain and the Thunder's conservative approach, Gilgeous-Alexander played a whopping 37 minutes on Wednesday and finished with 32 points and five assists. The Nuggets, who are playing on the second night of a back-to-back, pose a favorable matchup for him. -- Moody
LA Clippers at Sacramento Kings
10 p.m. ET, Golden One Center, Sacramento, California
Line: Clippers (-2)
Money line: Clippers (-145), Kings (+122)
Total: 224 points
BPI Projected Total: 224.1 points
BPI Win%: Kings (55%)
Best bet: Paul George over 37.5 points + assists + rebounds. The Clippers have already ruled out Kawhi Leonard, which makes George the go-to option against a Kings team that can be exploited on defense. Last season, George had a usage rate of 34% without Leonard. -- Moody
Analytics Edge
BPI's highest projected totals
1. Bucks (125.2 points)
2. 76ers (121.5 points)
3. Mavericks (117.8 points)
BPI's lowest projected totals
1. Magic (105.5 points)
2. Thunder (105.9 points)
3. Spurs (106.7 points)
BPI top probability to win (straight up)
1. 76ers (91%)
2. Bucks (84.8%)
3. Celtics (84.1%)
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