ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for Tuesday are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
What you need to know for Tuesday's games
A relatively busy Tuesday night of playoff action means there are some fun prop plays to consider, such as Al Horford's reasonable rebounding target of 6.5 rebounds. On the surface, this number sits right around his season averages, but consider Horford saw 15 rebounding chances in Game 1 and should continue in his role as the counter to Clint Capela on the glass.
Another prop angle focuses on Kawhi Leonard's distribution duties, as he ranked second on the LA Clippers behind Russell Westbrook with 54 passes and seven potential assists in Game 1. Leonard's seemingly achievable assist prop sits at 4.5 on most sites. Teammate Ivica Zubac is in a good spot to produce on the boards, as Eric Karabell explains below.
This three-game slate also presents several paths for building DFS lineups. For instance, the Cleveland Cavaliers' Jarrett Allen projects as a distinctly valuable option in the player pool given a projection for nearly six fantasy points per $1,000 spent on DraftKings, which has long been a measure of elite efficiency. Allen's reasonable price allows for stakes in high-ceiling superstars such as Jayson Tatum and Donovan Mitchell.
-- Jim McCormick
Breaking down the slate
Atlanta Hawks at Boston Celtics
Game 2, 7 p.m. ET, Celtics lead series 1-0
Records (Against the Spread)
Hawks: 41-41 (36-44-2)
Celtics: 57-25 (45-36-1)
Line: Celtics (-10) Total: 230.5
BPI Projection: Celtics by 11
Money Line: Hawks (+400), Celtics (-550)
Injury Report:
Hawks: None reported
Celtics: Danilo Gallinari, (OUT - Knee)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Best bet: Jaylen Brown under 27.5 points. Brown and Jayson Tatum yo-yo all the time. Brown posted 29 points and 12 rebounds in Game 1. I was prepared to pick Tatum over points, but the line at 31.5 seems a little too high. When a double-digit spread is involved, there is always potential for a blow out. Tatum scored 25 points in Game 1 with 21 of those points coming in the first half. I expect Brown to go under his points prop. -- Erin Dolan
0:30
Can the Celtics cover again in Game 2?
Tyler Fulghum explains why he expects the Celtics to have another dominant performance against the Hawks in Game 2.
Best bet: Celtics (-10). Game 1 wasn't competitive, as Boston rushed out to a 30-point halftime lead and then took it easy in the second half. Any double-digit spread is dangerous for that reason, but the motivated Celtics are more likely to not let up in future games. The Hawks can't make this a series. -- Eric Karabell
Best bet: Hawks (+10). The Hawks looked awful in Game 1 against the Celtics despite being fully healthy after an impressive win over the Heat in the Play-In tournament. Atlanta played better in the second half and hopes to carry that momentum into Game 2. Although the Celtics are the better team, the Hawks should keep things within single digits. Atlanta is 22-18-1 against the spread after a loss. -- Eric Moody
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 2, 7:30 p.m. ET, Knicks lead series 1-0
Records (Against the Spread)
Knicks: 47-35 (45-35-2)
Cavaliers: 51-31 (42-37-3)
Line: Cavaliers (-5.5) Total: 214
BPI Projection: Cavaliers by 13.2
Money Line: Knicks (+185), Cavaliers (-225)
Injury Report:
Knicks: Josh Hart, (GTD - Ankle)
Cavaliers: Dylan Windler, (OUT - Foot)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Best bet: Darius Garland over 6.5 assists. Garland averaged better than 6.5 APG in each of the five full regular season months, and then he delivered only one assist in the playoff opener, while turning the ball over five times. Don't expect a repeat. Donovan Mitchell has the higher usage rate, but Garland still runs the offense. He should bounce back in the playmaking department as the Cavs tie the series. -- Karabell
0:31
Why Joe Fortenbaugh is taking the under in Knicks-Cavs Game 2
Joe Fortenbaugh doesn't see many points being scored between the Knicks and Cavaliers after a low-scoring affair in Game 1.
Best bet: Evan Mobley over 23.5 points + rebounds. The Cavaliers were outrebounded on the defensive end in Game 1. Mobley missed eight shots in the paint and was 4-13 from the field. He'll be more efficient and more physical in Game 2. Mobley averaged 16.2 PPG and 9.0 RPG during the regular season. -- Moody
LA Clippers at Phoenix Suns
Game 2, 10 p.m. ET, Clippers lead series 1-0
Records (Against the Spread)
Clippers: 44-38 (40-42-0)
Suns: 45-37 (42-38-2)
Line: Suns (-8) Total: 226
BPI Projection: Clippers by 1.5
Money Line: Clippers (+285), Suns (-365)
Injury Report:
Clippers: Paul George, (OUT - Knee)
Suns: Cameron Payne, (GTD - Back)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Best bet: Kevin Durant over 27.5 points and 7.5 rebounds. Durant might still be getting used to his new teammates, since he played only eight regular season games with them, but he looked great in the playoff opener, just missing a triple double. Expect similar production as the Suns attmept to tie the series on Tuesday. Durant scored 27 points on Saturday but attempted only 15 field goals. Look for that number to rise. -- Karabell
Best bet: Suns 1H (-4.5). The Suns started out slow in Game 1 and that hurt them. Phoenix was outscored 30-18 in the first quarter but came out firing in the second quarter and took their first lead of the game in the third quarter after going on a 15-0 run. Monty Williams and the Suns will not allow that to happen again. Kawhi Leonard had a great shooting night, while Russell Westbook and the Clippers bench were also impactful in the win, but I expect Phoenix will jump out on the Clippers early tonight. -- Dolan
Best bet: Ivica Zubac over 10.5 rebounds and Mason Plumlee over 5.5 rebounds. Zubac garnered 15 rebounds in Game 1, doing so over 30 minutes. Look for him to get plenty of minutes again. Zubac has reached double-digit rebounds six of the past eight times he played 30 minutes or more. Plumlee doesn't need as many minutes, but he had 11 boards in 18 minutes in the opener. The Clippers depend on their bruising centers to control the boards, and they should do so again . -- Karabell
Best bet: Kawhi Leonard over 28.5 points. Leonard had a usage rate of 29.5% in Game 1. This metric is an estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while he was on the floor. Leonard couldn't be stopped by the Suns as 12 of his 13 field goals came when he was contested. He's averaged 28.6 PPG in the playoffs since 2015-2016. There is a strong chance that the trend will continue on Tuesday night. -- Moody
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