The India Today-Axis My India opinion poll suggests that the BJP may achieve a hat-trick of clean sweep in the national capital of Delhi. This potential victory is notable as it marks the first time the saffron party is contesting against the combined forces of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and the Congress.
The Congress-AAP alliance is significant given their longstanding influence on Delhi's local government, which they have dominated since 1998. Historically, the BJP has struggled to break the hold of the AAP and Congress in local elections in Delhi--a region known for its discernible electoral preferences. However, since the 2014 national elections, the BJP has maintained an unyielding grip on Delhi's Lok Sabha seats. The exit polls indicate that this trend is likely to continue, with projections suggesting that the BJP could win all seven seats.
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Even in a less favourable scenario, the exit poll projects that the BJP might lose only one seat to the AAP-Congress alliance. Such a result would be a substantial boost for the BJP, underscoring its robust national appeal and adept electioneering strategies. It would also reflect the party's ability to counter the collective strength of its primary rivals in a crucial election.
The election has proven to be a pivotal moment for the BJP, as it took a bold step by changing six out of its seven sitting MPs ahead of the polls, introducing new faces in their stead. This strategy appears to be paying off for the BJP if the projections from the India Today-Axis My India exit polls hold true on June 4.
Over the last decade, anti-incumbency has been a significant challenge for the party. By rotating out well-known leaders such as Harsh Vardhan, Meenakshi Lekhi, Ramesh Bidhuri, and Parvesh Sahib Singh Verma, the BJP sought to refresh its image and reconnect with the electorate. This decisive move suggests that the party was willing to take risks to maintain its stronghold in the political landscape.
The BJP's success can largely be attributed to its robust support base among urban middle-class voters and the 'Modi effect'. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s appeal, particularly in urban areas, appears to have been a major factor in swaying voters in the BJP's favour.
Additionally, the BJP's strategy of working as a cohesive unit contrasted sharply with the disjointed campaign of the opposing AAP-Congress alliance. Despite forming an alliance, the AAP and Congress failed to present a unified front, leading to a fragmented and less effective campaign. This lack of coordination likely undermined their efforts, thereby giving an edge to the BJP.
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