Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.
All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Times are ET.
Here's what to look for during today's slate:
Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings
8 p.m., College Park Center, Arlington
Line: Wings (-6.5)
Money line: Wings (-290), Mercury (+235)
Total: 169.5 points
BPI Win Prediction: Wings (61.8%)
Ruled Out: Satou Sabally (Knee)
Questionable: Allisha Gray (Ankle)
Fantasy need to know: These teams faced off on June 17, a 93-88 Wings victory. Dallas is coming off a huge win over the Indiana Fever on Thursday. The Wings rank fourth in offensive rating (103.5) and eighth in defensive rating (101.7). Arike Ogunbowale (31.5 fantasy PPG) has been Dallas' top fantasy player. In four of her last five games, she has scored 41 or more fantasy points. The Mercury suffered a shocking 100-88 loss to the Minnesota Lynx on Thursday. All season long, Phoenix's offense has been its strength (81.8 PPG). The Mercury rank fifth in offensive rating (100.4), but 10th in defensive rating (106.2). This season, Skylar Diggins-Smith has been Phoenix's top fantasy player. Over the last five games she's averaged 35.2 fantasy points per game.
Ogunbowale and Marina Mabrey, who has scored 23 or more fantasy points in five straight games, are must-starts. Allisha Gray is questionable due to an ankle injury. The Wings would be adversely affected by her potential absence, as she has averaged 28.3 fantasy points per game. Isabelle Harrison, who is available in 47.6% of leagues, should be on your streaming radar if Gray is inactive. Kayla Thornton (68.8% available) and Teaira McCowan (40.2%) are also potential streamers. Diamond DeShields, Brianna Turner, Diana Taurasi and Tina Charles are the top fantasy options for the Mercury, as all of them average 19 or more fantasy points per game.
Best bet: Wings -6.5
The Wings are a strong offensive team averaging 82.5 PPG and they will have no trouble scoring against the Mercury. Phoenix allowed 100 points in its most recent game and will do so again here. The Wings should cover. - Eric Moody
Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm
9 p.m., Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Line: Storm (-8.5)
Money line: Storm (-450), Sparks (+350)
Total: 160.5 points
BPI Win Prediction: Storm (75.7%)
Ruled Out: None, Rae Burrell (Knee), Mercedes Russell (Head)
Fantasy need to know: Seattle won the first meeting between these teams, 83-80, on May 20. The Storm enters with a two-game winning streak, led by a strong defense. Overall, Seattle ranks ninth in offensive rating (98.5) and first in defensive rating (95.6). The Storm's pace has slowed as the season has progressed, and only the New York Liberty (94.9) and Washington Mystics (93.8) play at a slower pace than Seattle (95.3). Breanna Stewart continues to be the top fantasy playmaker for the Storm. Stewie has scored 35 or more fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Meanwhile, the Sparks are coming off of a blowout loss to the Chicago Sky. Los Angeles ranks eighth in offensive rating (99.3) and 11th in defensive rating (106.4). The top fantasy option for the Sparks is Nneka Ogwumike, who averages 32.4 fantasy points per game.
Stewart (40.0), Jewell Loyd (28.9), Ezi Magbegor (27.9) and Sue Bird (22.6) lead the Storm in fantasy points per game and are your top options. Gabby Williams, who is available in 71.6% of leagues, remains Seattle's top streamer despite her inconsistent play. Other than Ogwumike, Katie Lou Samuelson, Brittney Sykes and Liz Cambage, there is little reason to trust any Sparks players in your lineup. Samuelson is available in 80.3% of leagues and averages 18.3 fantasy points per game.
Best bet: Storm -8.5
Based on advanced metrics, the Sparks aren't a strong offensive or defensive team, but that's especially evident on film. The Storm's defense has been its strength this season and Los Angeles is likely to have trouble scoring against them. Seattle should cover the spread. - Moody
Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces
10 p.m., Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Line: Aces (-9.5)
Money line: Aces (-450), Mystics (+350)
Total: 167 points
BPI Win Prediction: Aces (73.5%)
Ruled Out: None
Fantasy need to know: This should be an exciting game. In their meeting on May 10, the Mystics won 89-76. Las Vegas leads the league with 91.5 PPG and is only the second team in league history to score 80 or more points in 15 of the first 16 games of a season. The Aces rank sixth in defensive rating (99.0). In their loss to the Sky on Tuesday, the Aces struggled on defense and lost by nine points. A'ja Wilson (36.9 fantasy PPG) continues to be the Aces' top option. Meanwhile, the Mystics have dropped two straight. They rank seventh in offensive rating (99.9), but are particularly strong on defense. The only teams with a higher defensive rating than the Mystics (96.2) are the Atlanta Dream (95.7) and Storm (95.6). Elena Delle Donne is Washington's best fantasy option on a per-game basis. This season, she averages 27.9 fantasy points.
It's clear who should be in your lineup from the Aces, as Wilson, Kelsey Plum, Jackie Young, Dearica Hamby and Chelsea Gray all average at least 26 fantasy points per game. Delle Donne continues to receive rest days from the Mystics, which is frustrating for fantasy managers. Alysha Clark, who is available in 57.6% of leagues, is someone to stream when Delle Donne is inactive. Clark is averaging 18.8 fantasy points overall, but when Delle Donne is out of the lineup, her ceiling is even higher. Ariel Atkins and Natasha Cloud are also must-starts.
Best bet: Aces -9.5
The Aces will look to bounce back for Tuesday's loss. In this game, the Mystics' offensive woes will be evident. Washington ranks 10th with 78.7 PPG. Keeping pace with the Aces, an offensive juggernaut, will be difficult for the Mystics. Las Vegas should cover. - Moody
Article From & Read More ( WNBA fantasy and betting tips for Saturday - ESPN )https://ift.tt/PSO23e0
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